🔥 FIRE & Early Retirement

Calculate your FIRE number and safe withdrawal rate. Model early retirement scenarios with Monte Carlo success probability.

How the FIRE Calculator Works

The FIRE calculator uses three key inputs:

Using these, it calculates your FIRE number (annual expenses × 25) and projects how many years until your portfolio reaches that target, assuming a user-specified rate of return.

Savings Rate vs. Years to FIRE

Your savings rate is the single most important factor in reaching FIRE. Here's how savings rate affects your timeline (assuming 7% average return and starting from zero):

Savings Rate Years to FIRE FIRE Type
25%~32 yearsTraditional
35%~25 yearsTraditional
50%~17 yearsRegular FIRE
65%~10 yearsAggressive FIRE
75%~7 yearsExtreme FIRE

Types of FIRE

Related Calculators & Guides

FIRE Early Retirement Calculator

Calculate how many years until financial independence using the 4% safe withdrawal rule.

7%
2.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

The 4% rule states that you can withdraw 4% of your portfolio in the first year of retirement, then adjust for inflation. Your FIRE number = Annual Expenses × 25. This has historically supported 30+ year retirements. For longer FIRE retirements, consider using 3-3.5% for more safety.
Lean FIRE targets ~$40,000/year expenses ($1M nest egg). Standard FIRE targets ~$70,000/year ($1.75M). Fat FIRE targets ~$120,000/year ($3M). Choose based on your desired lifestyle.
Your savings rate is the most powerful factor. At 50% savings rate with 7% returns, FIRE takes ~17 years. At 65%, ~10 years. At 75%, ~7 years. Increasing your savings rate even by 10% can shave years off your FIRE date.
Early retirees need private insurance. ACA marketplace plans with premium subsidies (available if income is under 400% of FPL) are common. Managing taxable income to maximize ACA subsidies is a key FIRE strategy — another reason Roth conversions matter.
The original Trinity Study assumed a 30-year retirement. FIRE retirees may need 40-60 years of withdrawals. Many planners recommend a 3-3.5% withdrawal rate for longer retirements. Our calculator lets you adjust the withdrawal rate to model different scenarios.